Eastern Kentucky
Men - Women
2013 - 2014 - 2015
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RankNameGradeRating
68  Amos Kosgey SO 31:42
129  Ole Hesselbjerg SR 31:55
158  Ambrose Maritim SO 32:01
166  Ben Toroitich SR 32:03
323  Luka Ndungu SO 32:31
375  Sean Vandermosten SR 32:38
470  Ronald Korir FR 32:48
567  Jakob Abrahamsen FR 32:58
830  Thomas Koringo FR 33:24
2,669  Jack Gaddie JR 36:22
National Rank #22 of 311
Southeast Region Rank #3 of 47
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 38.5%
Most Likely Finish 4th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 1.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 14.8%


Regional Champion 5.6%
Top 5 in Regional 90.5%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Amos Kosgey Ole Hesselbjerg Ambrose Maritim Ben Toroitich Luka Ndungu Sean Vandermosten Ronald Korir Jakob Abrahamsen Thomas Koringo Jack Gaddie
Notre Dame Invitational (Blue) 10/03 574 31:21 32:38 32:47 32:03 33:05 31:27 32:37 33:18 33:20
Wisconsin adidas Invitational 10/17 672 31:32 32:24 31:45 33:24 33:16 32:41 32:49
ISU Pre-National Invitational (White Race) 10/18 33:30 36:25
Ohio Valley Conference Championship 11/01 790 32:26 32:11 32:15 32:32 33:07 32:42 33:20 36:19
Southeast Region Championships 11/14 571 31:43 31:35 31:52 32:35 32:19 33:16 32:48
NCAA Championship 11/22 675 32:50 31:34 31:59 32:10 34:03 32:33 33:25





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 38.5% 21.9 542 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.4 1.4 1.5 2.0 2.2 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.7 2.3 2.4 2.8 2.2 2.0 2.0 1.6 1.0
Region Championship 100% 3.8 116 5.6 12.7 20.8 27.5 23.9 8.2 0.9 0.3 0.0



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amos Kosgey 80.9% 84.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4
Ole Hesselbjerg 46.9% 95.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
Ambrose Maritim 42.0% 111.2 0.0 0.0
Luka Ndungu 38.5% 186.3
Sean Vandermosten 38.5% 198.6
Ronald Korir 38.5% 214.4
Jakob Abrahamsen 38.5% 226.7


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Amos Kosgey 7.0 2.8 5.8 7.8 9.4 9.4 8.4 6.5 5.6 5.0 4.7 4.2 3.6 3.2 2.0 2.8 2.1 2.0 1.6 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.7
Ole Hesselbjerg 11.7 0.2 0.9 2.2 3.7 5.0 5.3 6.2 6.2 6.1 5.4 5.3 5.1 4.2 4.1 3.7 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.4 2.1 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.5
Ambrose Maritim 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.1 3.9 4.7 4.6 5.0 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.9 4.2 4.2 3.7 4.1 3.1 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1
Luka Ndungu 34.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.4 1.6 1.5 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.0 2.6
Sean Vandermosten 39.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.7 1.6 2.1
Ronald Korir 49.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5
Jakob Abrahamsen 59.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 5.6% 100.0% 5.6 5.6 1
2 12.7% 100.0% 12.7 12.7 2
3 20.8% 58.1% 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.9 1.1 1.7 3.1 3.1 8.7 12.1 3
4 27.5% 21.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.6 3.1 21.7 5.8 4
5 23.9% 9.2% 0.1 0.3 1.8 21.7 2.2 5
6 8.2% 1.2% 0.0 0.1 8.1 0.1 6
7 0.9% 0.9 7
8 0.3% 0.3 8
9 0.0% 0.0 9
10 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
Total 100% 38.5% 5.6 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.5 2.4 5.0 8.1 61.5 18.3 20.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Colorado St. 83.9% 1.0 0.8
Southern Utah 79.0% 1.0 0.8
Tulsa 27.3% 1.0 0.3
Princeton 14.7% 2.0 0.3
Lamar 13.6% 1.0 0.1
North Carolina St. 11.6% 1.0 0.1
Illinois 7.6% 1.0 0.1
Penn State 6.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 1.8% 1.0 0.0
Iowa 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Texas A&M 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Penn 0.2% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Bradley 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Dartmouth 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 2.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 7.0